Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valenciennes in this match.