Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
