Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
