Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 34.39%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 31.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 2-1 (6.49%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (14.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.