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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 10
Sep 25, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari
AA

Bastia
2 - 0
Ajaccio

Santelli (49' pen.), Schur (63')
Schur (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Courtet (34'), Kalulu (42'), Ismael (51')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Ajaccio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 34.39%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 31.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 2-1 (6.49%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (14.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawAjaccio
34.39%31.7%33.91%
Both teams to score 37.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.97%70.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.74%87.25%
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.74%38.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.98%75.01%
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39%38.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65%75.35%
Score Analysis
    Bastia 34.39%
    Ajaccio 33.9%
    Draw 31.68%
BastiaDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 14.19%
2-0 @ 6.82%
2-1 @ 6.49%
3-0 @ 2.18%
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 34.39%
0-0 @ 14.76%
1-1 @ 13.5%
2-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.68%
0-1 @ 14.05%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-2 @ 6.43%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 33.9%

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