Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
