Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.33%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
