Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Niort had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
