Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Martigues win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.

Result
Martigues	Draw	Troyes
21.99% ( 0.3)	27.8% ( 0.12)	50.22% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 41.21% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.04% (

-0.14)

62.97% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.56% (

-0.1)

82.44% (

0.1)

Martigues Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.24% (

0.23)

44.76% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.26% (

0.19)

80.74% (

-0.18)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

-0.26)

25.4% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79% (

-0.36)

60.21% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Martigues 21.99%

Troyes 50.21%

Draw 27.79%

Martigues	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.99%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 15.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.67% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 50.21%