Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.09) 
