Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Nancy win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.