Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 47.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Niort had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
