Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 42.77%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 27.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
