Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Niort had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
