Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 46.27%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.95%), while for a Nancy win it was 1-0 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
