Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.