Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 35.36%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 2-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 0-1 (13.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
