Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Nimes win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.