Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Sochaux win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
