Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Niort had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.23%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
