SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 45.84%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Niort had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Niort | Draw | Auxerre |
| 25.74% | 28.42% | 45.84% |
| Both teams to score 42.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.5% | 62.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.9% | 82.1% |
| Niort Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.14% | 40.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.57% | 77.43% |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% | 27.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.2% | 62.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Niort | Draw | Auxerre |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 5.8% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.34% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.27% Total : 25.74% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 14.48% 0-2 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-3 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.32% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.74% Total : 45.83% |
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