Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Niort had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.41%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
