Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 50.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
