Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Niort had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.