SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Pau had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Red Star |
36.95% ( -2.07) | 25.62% ( -0.85) | 37.43% ( 2.93) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( 3.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% ( 3.88) | 48.49% ( -3.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% ( 3.43) | 70.62% ( -3.43) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.65) | 25.6% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( 0.87) | 60.48% ( -0.87) |
| Red Star Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 3.56) | 25.33% ( -3.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.88% ( 4.65) | 60.12% ( -4.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Red Star |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -1.3) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.76)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.95% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.46) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -1.1)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.45)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.51)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.58)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.38)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.43)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.31)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.43% |
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