Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
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