Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Metz had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Red Star in this match.
0.14) 
-0.15) 
