Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
