Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 42.05%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 28.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.