Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Paris FC in this match.
