Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Martigues had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Martigues win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Red Star in this match.

Result
Red Star	Draw	Martigues
47.81% ( 0)	25.05% ( 0)	27.14%

Both teams to score 53.58% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.69% (

49.31% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.64% (

71.36% (

-0)

Red Star Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.35% (

20.65% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.77% (

53.23% (

-0)

Martigues Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53% (

32.47% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01%

68.99%

Score Analysis

Red Star 47.8%

Martigues 27.14%

Draw 25.04%

Red Star	Draw	Martigues
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.64% Total : 47.8%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.54% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.14%