Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.18%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Martigues win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guingamp in this match.
0.28) 
-0.11) 
