SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nancy | Draw | Toulouse |
| 28.05% | 27.65% | 44.31% |
| Both teams to score 46.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.23% | 58.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.71% | 79.29% |
| Nancy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.19% | 36.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.41% | 73.59% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% | 26.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.45% | 61.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nancy | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.05% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 12.94% 0-2 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-3 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.28% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.31% |
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