Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.