Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
