Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.