Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.