Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.