Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 51%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-0 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.