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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 14
Oct 3, 2020 at 9.30pm UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
NY

Orlando City
3 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Dike (24'), Urso (50'), Carlos (90+5')
Pereyra (15'), O (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Valot (54')
Egbo (14')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York Red Bulls.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York Red Bulls
43.56%25.19%31.25%
Both teams to score 55.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26%47.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07%69.93%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1%21.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.85%55.15%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29%28.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46%64.53%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 43.56%
    New York Red Bulls 31.25%
    Draw 25.18%
Orlando CityDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.56%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.25%


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