Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.