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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 12
Sep 24, 2020 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
LG

Salt Lake
2 - 0
LA Galaxy

Rusnak (65' pen.), Kreilach (72')
Baird (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

DePuy (25'), Bingham (64')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles Galaxy.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
41.05%25.08%33.88%
Both teams to score 57.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59%46.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.31%68.7%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48%22.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.91%56.1%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.57%
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 41.05%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 33.88%
    Draw 25.07%
Real Salt LakeDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
1-0 @ 8.86%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.92%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.88%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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