Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.