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Major League Soccer
Jul 27, 2020 at 1.30am UK
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
NY

Toronto
1 - 3
NY City

Mullins (87')
Gonzalez (15'), Osorio (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Medina (5'), Castellanos (55'), Moralez (81')
Ring (12'), Sands (66')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New York City FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawNew York City FC
49.11%23.75%27.14%
Both teams to score 57.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32%43.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93%66.07%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09%17.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.29%48.71%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48%29.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46%65.54%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 49.11%
    New York City FC 27.14%
    Draw 23.75%
TorontoDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 9.54%
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-0 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.11%
1-1 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-1 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 3.94%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 27.14%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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