SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Southport |
| 28.35% | 24.67% | 46.98% |
| Both teams to score 55.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% | 46.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% | 69.19% |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% | 30.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.5% | 66.51% |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% | 20.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.73% | 52.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 7.26% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 4.33% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.35% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-2 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.98% |
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