Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guiseley win with a probability of 61.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guiseley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guiseley would win this match.