SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Darlington | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Chester FC | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Peterborough Sports | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn Town | 6 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Banbury United | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Fylde | 6 | 0 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
29.85% ( 0.19) | 26.32% ( -0.24) | 43.83% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.95% ( 1.03) | 53.05% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.37% ( 0.87) | 74.63% ( -0.87) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( 0.67) | 32.38% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.1% ( 0.75) | 68.9% ( -0.75) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( 0.48) | 24.06% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( 0.68) | 58.33% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.85% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.82% |
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