SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Peterborough Sports | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Chester FC | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Darlington | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Alfreton Town | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Hereford United | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Kettering Town | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hereford United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Hereford United |
35.04% ( 0.05) | 26.14% ( -0.02) | 38.83% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% ( 0.1) | 50.87% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( 0.08) | 72.75% ( -0.09) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% ( 0.08) | 27.83% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% ( 0.1) | 63.43% ( -0.1) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.03) | 25.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( 0.04) | 60.56% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.83% |
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