Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hereford United in this match.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Hereford United
35.04% ( 0.05)	26.14% ( -0.02)	38.83% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.65% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.14% (

0.1)

50.87% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.25% (

0.08)

72.75% (

-0.09)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17% (

0.08)

27.83% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

0.1)

63.43% (

-0.1)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34% (

0.03)

25.66% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44% (

0.04)

60.56% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Chester FC 35.04%

Hereford United 38.83%

Draw 26.13%

Chester FC	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.04%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.83%