SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AFC Telford United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Alfreton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Banbury United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Buxton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Chester FC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Chorley | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Chester FC |
37.61% ( 0.3) | 26.81% ( -0.17) | 35.58% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.4% ( 0.68) | 53.6% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% ( 0.57) | 75.1% ( -0.57) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( 0.5) | 27.62% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( 0.64) | 63.15% ( -0.64) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( 0.25) | 28.83% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.32% ( 0.31) | 64.68% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.58% |
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