National League North | Gameweek 1

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 2
Chester

Denton (28', 90+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Willoughby (16'), Lynch (23')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Guiseley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AFC Telford United	0	0	0
2	Alfreton Town	0	0	0
3	Banbury United	0	0	0

Chester FC

Last Six:

Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Chester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Buxton	0	0	0
9	Chester FC	0	0	0
10	Chorley	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Chester FC
37.61% ( 0.3)	26.81% ( -0.17)	35.58% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.4% (

0.68)

53.6% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.9% (

0.57)

75.1% (

-0.57)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

0.5)

27.62% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85% (

0.64)

63.15% (

-0.64)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

0.25)

28.83% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.32% (

0.31)

64.68% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 37.61%

Chester FC 35.58%

Draw 26.8%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.61%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.8%	0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.58%