Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.