Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kettering Town would win this match.